01W生成 JMA-GW - 颱風討論

Table of Contents

WTPN31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
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WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 9.6N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N 113.8E
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FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 9.9N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 10.2N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 10.5N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 11.0N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 11.7N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
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http://tinyurl.com/7nddh2h

http://tinyurl.com/6od868r


另外JMA已經發GW了 不過JMA一向對南海的TD....

可能形成今年第一號颱風-帕卡

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All Comments

Linda avatarLinda2012-02-19
愛台路徑換人做XD? http://i.imgur.com/b9Ois.png
Daniel avatarDaniel2012-02-21
正常狀況下,2月颱風連靠近台灣都很困難吧?
Kelly avatarKelly2012-02-23
西部登陸@@ 應該只有輕度等級吧
Charlie avatarCharlie2012-02-25
自1972年有衛星觀測以來,第一個南海2月颱!!!
Ina avatarIna2012-02-27
JMA最近對南海的系統變的比較積極
Ida avatarIda2012-03-01
最近好冷 有最低溫的颱風的紀錄嗎?
Sarah avatarSarah2012-03-05
菲律賓逃過一劫 幾乎全年皆颱的國家
Ivy avatarIvy2012-03-07
01W final warning~~
Kama avatarKama2012-03-09
後面的93W也撤掉了...
Zora avatarZora2012-03-11
從駛流圖的變化來看 我覺得短期內(2~3天內)會先北上
然後之後再看是會快速被網北北東拉走 或者再轉向西南
Quintina avatarQuintina2012-03-13
兩者都有可能