2301 珊瑚 - 颱風討論

Table of Contents


WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 10.0N 156.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 156.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 10.5N 155.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 10.9N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 11.4N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.8N 152.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.1N 149.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.2N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 156.1E.
21APR23. TROPICAL STORM 01W (SANVU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN

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All Comments

Wallis avatarWallis2023-04-26
感謝大大幫珊瑚在板上留個正式紀錄
Victoria avatarVictoria2023-04-30
終於有人理它了xd
Jack avatarJack2023-05-05
小J出乎意料的在昨天升格
Connor avatarConnor2023-05-09
小j過往突襲式升格也不是第一次 所以沒有很意外
John avatarJohn2023-05-08
2023風季開跑
Madame avatarMadame2023-05-12
今年颱風生成的位置會距離台灣越來越遠?
Dinah avatarDinah2023-05-08
還是一直都距離台灣很遠位置差不多?
Isabella avatarIsabella2023-05-12
今年會有颱風來台灣晃晃嗎
Vanessa avatarVanessa2023-05-08
依最新聖嬰預報,聖嬰現象會在夏季後發展,秋颱生成
Isabella avatarIsabella2023-05-12
位置的確會離臺灣比較遠
Catherine avatarCatherine2023-05-08
可遇不可求,遇到就心懷感激
Valerie avatarValerie2023-05-12
聖嬰年的颱風比較容易達強度上限,到台灣的話多會是
Yedda avatarYedda2023-05-08
強颱,但天花板好像不高,然後隔年天花板好像會提升
Franklin avatarFranklin2023-05-12
盼孟加拉灣氣旋(拭淚)
Jessica avatarJessica2023-05-08
愛深埋珊瑚海
Mia avatarMia2023-05-12
孟灣氣旋歐 算一算很高機率是下一次MJO到印度洋
準備點燃西南季風
Isla avatarIsla2023-05-08
W大懂我~
Adele avatarAdele2023-05-12
轉身離開
Margaret avatarMargaret2023-05-08
看BSISO的季節又要到了
Barb Cronin avatarBarb Cronin2023-05-12
聖嬰年是不是比較有機會侵台? 台灣終究還是得要有颱
風侵襲 否則缺水會比淹水更無力…
Caroline avatarCaroline2023-05-08
根據統計,反聖嬰年才有比較多颱風侵台
Emma avatarEmma2023-05-12
但是論西南氣流抵臺的件數,好像正反聖嬰差別不大?
Linda avatarLinda2023-05-08
只是西南氣流和颱風本身對各地區水庫補水的效益不一
Linda avatarLinda2023-05-12
,有些很依賴颱風補水,有些只要西南氣流就補一堆
Ula avatarUla2023-05-08
按cwb 的氣侯監測資料,看不出聖嬰反聖嬰和颱風侵
台數的關聯
Anthony avatarAnthony2023-05-12
這幾年的表現像是有在管歷史統計的嗎…
Joe avatarJoe2023-05-08
有緣的兩千公里都給你開過來撞 反之(ry
Hedda avatarHedda2023-05-12
聖嬰反聖嬰 對台灣影響反而是春雨的影響比較多
颱風的侵襲反而還好 不過反聖嬰年侵襲數的確是稍多
Annie avatarAnnie2023-05-08
看是不是又是風調雨不順的一年… @@
Lauren avatarLauren2023-05-12
聖嬰發展年的夏季雨水較多 但不見得是颱風影響 都
是無法成餅的麵糊…
Rebecca avatarRebecca2023-05-08
至於近年的反聖嬰年呢…抱歉 連能製餅的麵糊都沒有
…又乾又熱
Todd Johnson avatarTodd Johnson2023-05-12
快掛了
Harry avatarHarry2023-05-08
已經好几年沒有像樣的颱風季了....
Steve avatarSteve2023-05-12
何止颱風 連梅雨都快感受不到了
Tristan Cohan avatarTristan Cohan2023-05-08
想想 有多久沒抱怨雨下不停了
Christine avatarChristine2023-05-12
大概2018年 八月後吧 就沒有持續很久的雨勢了xd
2018 有823砲彈 西南氣流 整個月雨勢不斷
Zanna avatarZanna2023-05-08
2018年也是 熱低數量影響蠻多的一年 颱風0登陸xd
Edwina avatarEdwina2023-05-12
南部今年有0823那顆熱低程度的話就可以補水了
Isabella avatarIsabella2023-05-08
而且當時那顆後面還有西南氣流
Oliver avatarOliver2023-05-12
有0823那顆應該不只是補水而已 淹水都可能
Harry avatarHarry2023-05-08
中南部 排水系統沒重修 823那種還是會淹。
Jessica avatarJessica2023-05-12
2021三道梅雨鋒面、台南一堆測站6月單月雨量破千
Hardy avatarHardy2023-05-08
2022也是三道梅面鋒面...
連梅雨都快感受不到了 ????
Kama avatarKama2023-05-12
2018算是TD大年吧(x
Queena avatarQueena2023-05-08
2021年8月上旬西南氣流+盧碧TD 南部一堆測站8月單
月雨量破千...
Erin avatarErin2023-05-12
2021年沒颱風直接襲臺,但是六七八三個月雨量很多
Kama avatarKama2023-05-08
南化六月中旬後就滿庫、鯉魚潭、德基也從不到1%滿庫
曾文也在八月滿庫
Quintina avatarQuintina2023-05-12
2018年8月更不用說,高雄測站單月雨量1,600mm
Aaliyah avatarAaliyah2023-05-12
按氣象局定義 8月不算在梅雨季了
Elizabeth avatarElizabeth2023-05-12
所以是海溫上升年(反聖嬰減弱也算),夏季雨量多
Jake avatarJake2023-05-08
剛簡易查了 2021 臺北 <-> 高雄 6-8月雨量差距滿大
Wallis avatarWallis2023-05-12
823 那個到北部一樣淹啦 跟排水系統關係不大 去年10
月台北一波大雨也是淹
Jessica avatarJessica2023-05-08
噗! GFS +384小時 在孟加拉灣畫餅 XD
Anthony avatarAnthony2023-05-12
4月、5月的印度洋好像常常出現南北半球各一顆餅
Lauren avatarLauren2023-05-08
因為四五月季內振盪準備帶起西南季風 對流區後端
的赤道羅士比波氣旋對裡面容易出現熱帶氣旋
Edith avatarEdith2023-05-08
去年的印度洋雙胞胎~
Kama avatarKama2023-05-12
GFS +384小時 也是印度洋南北半球各一顆 科科
Andy avatarAndy2023-05-08
謝謝w大說明~
Dorothy avatarDorothy2023-05-08
2019 年的印度洋南北雙胞胎~