1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.1N 139.6E TO 23.4N 134.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
081800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N
139.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6N
139.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 139.1E, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A LARGE CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED JUST NORTHWEST
OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INDICATES FORMATIVE BANDING EAST WRAPPING INTO THE NORTH QUADRANT. A
081128Z ASCAT PARTIAL IMAGE SHOWS 15-20 KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS EAST
AND NORTH OF A DEFINED CENTER; THERE ARE ALSO 20-25 KNOT WINDS
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER HOWEVER THEY ARE ADJACENT TO NUMEROUS RAIN-
FLAGGED WINDS. OVERALL, THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS MARGINAL
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KNOTS)
HAMPERING DEVELOPMENT. EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS POOR WITH FAIR
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY STRONG FLOW BETWEEN A TUTT CELL NEAR
25N 136E AND AN ANTICYCLONE NEAR 23N 149E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
092200Z.//
NNNN
趕著出門 不好意思指貼原文
在關島附近的熱帶擾動92W被評級成HIGH
有機會於一天之內升格成熱帶氣旋(熱帶低壓)
未來趨勢往北北西前進
似乎...不太有引響的樣子XD
應1F要球 刪除推文
--
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.1N 139.6E TO 23.4N 134.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
081800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N
139.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6N
139.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 139.1E, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A LARGE CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED JUST NORTHWEST
OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INDICATES FORMATIVE BANDING EAST WRAPPING INTO THE NORTH QUADRANT. A
081128Z ASCAT PARTIAL IMAGE SHOWS 15-20 KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS EAST
AND NORTH OF A DEFINED CENTER; THERE ARE ALSO 20-25 KNOT WINDS
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER HOWEVER THEY ARE ADJACENT TO NUMEROUS RAIN-
FLAGGED WINDS. OVERALL, THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS MARGINAL
WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KNOTS)
HAMPERING DEVELOPMENT. EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS POOR WITH FAIR
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY STRONG FLOW BETWEEN A TUTT CELL NEAR
25N 136E AND AN ANTICYCLONE NEAR 23N 149E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
092200Z.//
NNNN
趕著出門 不好意思指貼原文
在關島附近的熱帶擾動92W被評級成HIGH
有機會於一天之內升格成熱帶氣旋(熱帶低壓)
未來趨勢往北北西前進
似乎...不太有引響的樣子XD
應1F要球 刪除推文
--
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