高爾書中提到十個關於全球暖化的錯誤想法 - 颱風討論

Table of Contents


  除了電影 不願面對的真相 也有同名的專書
  不知道會不會出中文版

  書本最後有提到很多個人減少碳排放的做法
  也有 The 10 most common misconceptions about global warming

  給大家當個參考



  Misconception 1

  " Scientists disagree about whether humans are causing the Earth's
   climate to change."

 → In fact, there is strong scientific consensus that human activities
   are changing the Earth's climates. Scientists overwhelmingly
   agree that the Earth is getting warmer, that this trend is caused by
   people, and that if we continue to pump greenhouse gases into the
   atmosphere, the warming will be increasingly harmful.

  Misconception 2

  " Lots of things can impact climate -- so there's no reason we should
   single out CO2 to worry about."

 → Climate is sensitive to many things besides carbon dioxide -- sunspots,
   for one, as well as water vapor. But this just proves how much we
   should worry about CO2 and other human-influenced green house gases.
   The fact that the climate system has been shown to be sensitive to
   many sorts of natural changes throughout history should serve as a red
   flag: We need to pay attention to the massive and unprecedented
   changes we're causing. We have become more powerful than any force
   of nature.

  Misconception 3

  " Climate naturally varies over time, so any change we're seeing now is
   just part of a natural cycle."

 → Climate does naturally change. By studying tree rings, take sediments,
   ice cores, and other natural features that provide a record of past
   climates, scientists know that changes in climate, including abrupt
   changes, have occurred throughout history. But these changes all took
   place with natural variations in carbon dioxide levels that were
   smaller than the ones we are now causing. Cores taken from deep in
   the ice of Antarctica show that carbon dioxide levels are higher now
   than they have been at any time in the last 650,000 years, which means
   we are outside the realm of natural climate variation. More CO2 in
   the atmosphere means warming temperatures.

  Misconception 4

  " The hole in the ozone layer causes global warming."

 → There is a relationship between climate change and the ozone hole, but
   this isn't it. The hole in the ozone layer -- a part of the upper
   atmosphere that contains high concentrations of ozone gas and shields
   the planet from the sun's radiation -- is due to man-made chemicals
   called CFCs, which were banned by an international agreement called
   the Montreal Protocol. The hole causes extra UV radiation to reach
   the Earth's surface, but it does not affect the Earth's temperature.
   The only connection between the ozone layer and climate change is
   almost the exact opposite of the myth stated above. Global warming --
   while not responsible for the ozone hole -- could actually slow the
   natural repairing of the ozone layer. Global warming heats the lower
   atmosphere but actually cools the stratosphere, which can worsen
   stratospheric ozone loss.

  Misconception 5

  " There is nothing we can do about climate change. It's already too
   late."

 → This is the worst misconception of all. If "denial ain't just a river
   in Egypt," despair ain't just a tire in the trunk. There are lots of
   things we can do -- but we need to start now. We can't ignore the
   causes and impacts of climate change any longer. We need to reduce
   our use of fossil fuels, through a combination of government
   initiatives, industry innovation, and individual action. Dozens of
   things you can do are outlined in this resource guide. (註:指本書)

  Misconception 6

  " Antarctica's ice sheets are growing, so it must not be true that
   global warming is causing glaciers and sea ice to melt."

 → Some ice on Antarctica may be growing -- though other areas of
   the continent are clearly melting and a new 2006 study shows that
   overall the ice is shrinking in Antarctica. Even if some of the ice
   is getting bigger, not shrinking, this doesn't change the fact that
   global warming is causing glaciers and sea ice to melt around the
   world. Globally, more than 85% of glaciers are shrinking. And in
   any case, localized impacts of climate change don't cancel out the
   global trends that scientists are observing.
   Some people also mistakenly claim (in Michael Crichton's novel State
   of Fear, for instance) that Greenland's ice is growing. In fact,
   recent satellite data from NASA shows that Greenland's ice cap is
   shrinking every year, causing sea levels to rise. The loss of that
   ice doubled from 1996 to 2005. Greenland lost 50 cubic kilometers
   of ice in 2005 alone.

  Misconception 7

  " Global warming is a good thing, because it will rid us of frigid
   winters and make plants grow more quickly."

 → This myth just doesn't seem to die. Because local impacts will
   vary, it's true that some specific places may experience more pleasant
   winter weather. But the negative impact of climate change vastly
   outweighs any local benefits. Take the oceans, for example. Changes
   to the oceans caused by global warming are already causing massive
   die-offs of coral reefs, which are crucial sources of food and shelter
   for creatures at every stage of the ocean food chain, all the way
   up to us. Melting ice sheets are causing sea levels to rise, and if
   big ice sheets melt into the ocean, many coastal cities around the
   world will flood and millions of people will become refugees. There
   are just some of the consequences of global warming.
   Other predicted impacts include prolonged periods of drought, more
   severe flooding, more intense storms, soil erosion, mass species
   extinction, and human health risks from new diseases. The small
   number of people who experience better weather may be doing it in
   a landscape that is nearly unrecognizable.

  Misconception 8

  " The warming scientists are recording is just the effect of cities
   trapping heat, rather than anything to do with green house gases."

 → People who want to deny global warming because it's easier than
   dealing with it try to argue that what scientists are really
   observing is just the "urban heat island" effect, meaning that cities
   tends to trap heat because of all the buildings and asphalt. This
   is simply wrong. Temperature measurements are generally taken in
   parks, which are actually cool areas within the urban heat islands.
   And long-term temperature records showing just rural areas are
   nearly identical to long-term records that include both rural areas
   and cities. Most scientific research shows that "urban heat islands"
   have a negligible effect on the overall warming of the planet.

  Misconception 9

  " Global warming is the result of a meteor that crashed in Siberia in
   the early 20th century."

 → This may sound absurd to some of us, but it's real hypothesis
   suggested by a Russian scientist. So what's wrong with it? Basically,
   everything. The impact of a meteor, much like a volcanic eruption,
   might have immediate effects on climate if it were large enough. But
   there is no record of warming or cooling during the period after this
   meteor hit. The effects that would have been produced by the meteor
   would have involved water vapor, which only stays in the upper
   atmosphere for a few years at the most. Any effects would have been
   short-term, and could not be felt this far in the future.

  Misconception 10

  " Temperatures in some areas aren't increasing, so global warming is
   a myth."

 → It is certainly true that the temperature is not rising at every
   point on the planet. In Michael Crichton's novel The State of Fear,
   characters pass around graphs that show specific places around the
   world where temperatures are decreasing slightly or remaining the same.
   The graphs represent real data from real scientists. But while they
   may be fact, they don't prove the point. Global warming refers to
   the rise in the average temperature of the entire Earth's surface
   due to increased levels of greenhouse gases.
   Because the climate is an incredibly complex system, the impacts of
   climate change will not be the same everywhere. Some areas of the
   globe -- such as northern Europe -- might actually become colder. But
   this does not change the fact that overall, the surface temperature
   of the planet is rising, as are the temperatures of our oceans. The
   gains have been demonstrated by several types of measurements --
   including satellite data -- that all show the same general results.

   
  

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John avatarJohn2006-11-06
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